You immediate response should be “How can Hurricane Ian be worse than Irma?” The current Tropical Depression 9 and soon to be Hurricane Ian is currently projected to be in our Southwest Florida neighborhood late Tuesday-early Wednesday at a Category 2 storm. If it tracks a little to our north, it’ll be a Category 3 in Tampa’s neighborhood. Irma was a Category 5 as it approached and hit Estero as a Category 3. I know this. Our station is in Estero. I was here when the eye crossed over our town. Things are different with TD9, soon to be Ian. Here’s a look at this morning’s models:
Fresh Friday 12z spaghetti models on https://t.co/3cvwpvVJ22. Consistent pull north and turn towards Florida. NHC showing 110mph CAT 2 Hurricane possible Wednesday 2am. Conditions appear very favorable for development. https://t.co/Hk3pbO7x8H #flwx #tropics #TD9 pic.twitter.com/ojW1UlVSEP— Mike's Weather Page (@tropicalupdate) September 23, 2022
That gulf is super warm. I was down at Barefoot Beach and can confirm. So the longer this storm stays in the gulf, the bigger it’s going to get. If it hits us, it’s predicted to be in Category 2 range. If it goes further north before landfall it’ll be a lot stronger. Back to my original thought.
How can Hurricane Ian be worse than Irma?
I’m not talking about roof damage or flooding, I’m talking about the supply chain. And electricity. When things break you need parts. When hurricanes hit, the power goes out. It takes parts to fix the things that break to get the power back on. Do they have enough parts? Here’s why I’m thinking this. Shortages have been in the news for quite awhile now. Manufacturers can’t complete cars and trucks without all the parts. Locally, it was something that happened to me.
Last May I got a water bill for $30. My water meter broke. I contacted Lee County and let them know. The response came back that they didn’t have the parts to fix it. Two weeks ago they finally did. I got free water from the county for essentially 4 months because they didn’t have the parts needed to fix the meter. So if Florida sees a lot of damage from the hurricane, do they have all the parts needed to get all of our power back in in a timely manner? I’m hoping so. We were without power after Irma for more than a week, and the power companies had everything they needed. What’s the situation with parts and electrical components when it comes to fixing damage from a storm?
I’ll keep you updated if I find out more. Here’s the link to our guide, and more information below.
2022 Hurricane Central - Preparedness Guide